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Your/Our 2012 Nats Predictions

After being baseball’s biggest laughingstock not so long ago, it feels pretty good to be a Nats fan right now. Never has that been more evident than yesterday, when the news broke that John Lannan was optioned to AAA Syracuse in favor of Ross Detwiler (and, eventually, Chien-Ming Wang). Remember, Lannan was the Nats’ Opening Day starter in both 2009 and ’10, and he just had his best season, at least based on ERA and wins, in ’11.

These aren’t the kick-around Nats, not anymore, and they don’t figure to be for some time. Four of the five starters ahead of Lannan are 26 or younger. The bullpen is a strength and anchored by 23-year-old Drew Storen, who had 45 saves and a 1.02 WHIP last year. The lineup is average, and has 19-year-old Bryce Harper and 21-year-old Anthony Rendon on the way.

All of which isn’t to say the Nats will win the pennant this year, as some are prognosticating, but it is to say the Nats should finally be good and will be for many years to come. Still, should’s got nothing to do with it.

Which leads me to this. The D.C. chapter of the Internet Baseball Writers Association was kind enough to include us in their 2012 Nats survey, and my answers are listed below. Follow the link for the full results, and comment away with your predictions.

1) Who will lead the Nats in home runs in 2012?

Jayson Werth

2) Who will lead the Nats in RBI?

Ryan Zimmerman

3) Who will lead the Nats in stolen bases?

Danny Espinosa

4) Who will lead the staff in wins?

Jordan Zimmermann

5) Who will pitch more innings for the Nats this season: Chien-Ming Wang, John Lannan, Ross Detwiler?

John Lannan

6) Who will get more at bats for the Nats this season: Rick Ankiel, Roger Bernadina, Bryce Harper?

Roger Bernadina

7) Date of Bryce Harper’s Major league debut?

September 1

8) Which minor leaguer are you most interested in keeping tabs on this season (other than Bryce Harper)?

Anthony Rendon

9) How many all-stars will the Nats have? Who?

Ryan Zimmerman
Jayson Werth
Wilson Ramos
Stephen Strasburg
Jordan Zimmermann
Drew Storen

10) Total wins and what place in the division?

87 wins
2nd place

Essay: Single most important development for the Nats this season?

Nothing could be finer than Harper and Rendon tearing it up down on the farm, further signaling that two more cornerstones are coming.

D.C. sports fan and digital media guy that's been doing this since 2004. Once threw a football further than Chris Cooley.



  1. horseydeucey

    April 4, 2012 at 1:18 PM

    “Who will itch more innings for the Nats this season”
    Sabermetrics get more and more bizarre every year.

  2. Me

    April 4, 2012 at 1:20 PM

    Good predictions. 87 wins would feel like a 100 around here.

    Two espn “experts” (Jim Bowden is on the list) have the Nats winning the pennant and losing in the WS to the Rangers (Rick Sutcliffe) and Yanks (Adam Rubin). 15 of the 50 total have them in the playoffs.

  3. WFY

    April 4, 2012 at 1:21 PM

    I predict they will not lose to a community college

  4. Jamie Mottram

    April 4, 2012 at 1:50 PM

    Thanks, horsey. Fixed.

  5. Natstradamous

    April 4, 2012 at 2:01 PM

    1. Zim 2. Morse 3. Desmond 4. JZim 5. Wang 6. Harper 7. June 8 8. Rendon 9. Zim, JZim, NatGio, and Morse 10. 90 wins, 2nd place

    Essay: Beating the Phillies in the one game wildcard playoff in DC.

  6. Unsilent Majority

    April 4, 2012 at 2:14 PM

    6 ALL STARS!!!

  7. Jamie Mottram

    April 4, 2012 at 2:59 PM

    I got a little excited.

  8. Hondo Howard

    April 4, 2012 at 4:25 PM

    I don’t understand why everyone is still picking the Phillies. Chase Utley is slowly imploding, Jimmy Rollins is on the decline, Ryan Howard is out for at least two months, Oswalt and Ibanez are gone, Halliday is getting old and due to peak.
    The Braves are still young and formidable. Their collapse was almost as epic as the Red Sox, but they should be damn good. Same for the Marlins.
    The Nats can overtake one of those, but not both. 88 wins, 3rd place. Jordan Zimmermann will be our all star. Shoulda made it last year.

  9. jon forrester

    April 4, 2012 at 8:52 PM

    86 wins, 76 losses. I smell slight injury bug. You have to play the improved Braves and Marlins too many times.

  10. Phil

    April 5, 2012 at 12:05 AM

    I also saw we’re playing Red Sox and Yankees during interleague play. Gonna be cool to see them down here though.

  11. A Fine Messi

    April 5, 2012 at 2:41 AM

    that’s a lot of exclamation points, Unsilent Majority. it’s looking a little PROFOOTBALLWEEKLY in here.


  12. jon forrester

    September 12, 2012 at 8:50 AM

    Looks like my prediction was a bit conservative. They have already beat my projected win total by two games with 20 games to go (88 and 54 currently). Granted, the Marlins have been horrible yet have our number. The ability to get over the early season injury bug was huge.

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