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Redskins Playoff Dreams Are Inching Closer To Reality

Alright, let’s get delusional, y’all. Time to look at the Redskins’ chances of making the playoffs heading into this Sunday’s game against the Ravens. Here are their odds of making the postseason in any form — winning the division or a Wild Card spot — from four trusted sources:

Football Outsiders: 39%
Cool Standings: 36%
Brian Burke: 44%
Playoff Status: 38%
AVERAGE: 39%

And now, some day-dreaming …

Clearest path for the Skins to win the division:
They win their last four games, in all of which they’ll be favored, to finish the season 10-6. The Giants lose to the Falcons in Week 15 OR the Ravens in Week 16, both of which they’ll likely be underdogs, to finish 10-6. Washington holds the tiebreaker with the better divisional record.

Another route:
They lose to the Ravens, their toughest remaining game, but win their last three to finish 9-7. The Giants lose to the Falcons AND the Ravens to finish 9-7, as well. Tiebreaker to Washington.

Other routes:
There are a bunch of them. Use your imagination.

Former Managing Editor at UPROXX; former Senior Editor at @SBNation; former ska-zine editor, fan of bad sports teams and good beer.

14 Comments

14 Comments

  1. Eric

    December 6, 2012 at 10:35 AM

    Is there any hope for a wildcard or would they need too much help?

  2. Jamie Mottram

    December 6, 2012 at 10:46 AM

    There are so many teams vying for the wild card that it’s not worth outlining the scenarios, but Cool Standings has the Skins at a 7% chance to get it.

  3. JDP

    December 6, 2012 at 10:47 AM

    I’m gonna be pessimistic and say we go 8-8 and miss it. Still, this is much better of an ending than I would have guessed after all of the injuries and general awfulness of the defense.

  4. Chris Mottram

    December 6, 2012 at 10:58 AM

    For the WC, there are like 5 teams the Skins have to beat to 9/10 wins. For the division, it’s 1 team. So yeah, winning the East is the far easier scenario, which is odd considering it would also give them a higher playoff seeding.

  5. Blog So Hard Sports

    December 6, 2012 at 12:46 PM

    ANYTHING IS POSSSSIBBLLLLEEEEEE!!!!!

    Or something like that.

  6. ThisGuy

    December 6, 2012 at 2:41 PM

    “For the WC, there are like 5 teams the Skins have to beat to 9/10 wins”

    Question: how does the tiebreaker work against WC teams we haven’t played?

  7. Chris Mottram

    December 6, 2012 at 2:55 PM

    Conference record.

  8. Cat Man

    December 6, 2012 at 3:20 PM

    We have head-to-head tiebreaker over MIN, DAL, TB, and better conference record than CHI or SEA. So, if either SEA or NYG slip, the ‘Skins have a very good shot of making it, but we control nothing right now of course.

  9. Adam

    December 6, 2012 at 4:11 PM

    They have tie-breakers over most of the other teams in the wild card mix. If they win out, all they need is for Seattle to lose one of their three remaining NFC games (Arizona, SF and St. Louis, all at home).

  10. Chris Mottram

    December 6, 2012 at 4:34 PM

    Well, if they win out, they’re almost certainly going to make the playoffs regardless of the scenarios.

  11. Jamie Mottram

    December 6, 2012 at 4:36 PM

    I’d give them a < 10% of winning out, FWIW.

  12. Jeff

    December 6, 2012 at 8:09 PM

    If the Skins beat Baltimore this weekend, they are winning out.
    Browns and Eagles? Wins.

    And if you think this Redskins team is losing at home to the Cowboys in the last game of the season with the playoffs probably riding on a win, you are not watching the same team that won this past Monday night.

  13. js4rester

    December 6, 2012 at 8:43 PM

    It’s entirely possible to beat Baltimore, lose to Cleveland, beat Philly, and lose to Dallas.

    I have a feeling they end up 8-8

  14. js4rester

    December 6, 2012 at 8:45 PM

    The Giants end with Atlanta and Baltimore, who could very well be sitting a lot of starters based on their record and having a first round bye locked up.

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