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Andy’s A-11, Where Baby Race Happens

This is Maryland Sports Correspondent Andy Peden’s ballot in the Atlantic 11 poll with bonus video of Richmond’s annual Baby Race (via The Dagger).

Here’s some updated bracketology, and three CAA teams are dancing. I’m not a huge RPI guy since it can be manipulated (as Missouri Valley proved a few years ago), but it does serve a purpose. Looking back over the past three years, exactly six teams with an RPI of 40 or better didn’t make the Tournament. With the expanded field this year, I’m going to assume if your RPI is 40 or better, there’s a 95% chance you are in the field.

1. Georgetown (16-5, 5-4, RPI: 5) — Have won four in a row. Impressive win at Villanova on Saturday. Georgetown is back looking at a 3-5 seed.
2. ODU (17-5, 8-3, RPI: 31) — The first of three impressive CAA teams. They handled their business this week. With wins over Clemson, Xavier, Dayton and Richmond, an 8-3 conference record and an RPI of 31, they’re currently dancing. Huge game Saturday at Mason.
3. Richmond (16-6, 5-2, RPI: 61) — After beating Dayton on the road, the game against Xavier set up to be huge. Unfortunately, the most exciting part of the game was the baby race at halftime (see above). Hanging on to that neutral court win against Purdue. It’s too close to call right now.
4. George Mason (17-5, 9-2, RPI: 33) — Like ODU, got three wins this week. With their RPI, they’re in good shape right now. A win against ODU will help keep that RPI under 40.
5. VA Tech (14-6, 4-3, RPI: 68) — Right now they’re probably in the Tournament, but I’m not sure I trust that they can go on the road this week and get two wins. If they’re to stay in the Dance, they need to beat NC State and BC this week.
6. VCU (18-5, 10-1, RPI: 51) — That’s nine in a row. Other than the loss to Georgia St., they have a very clean resume. It would be hard to deny their overall record at this point. Still have ODU and Mason later in February to boost their resume.
7. Maryland (14-7, 4-3, RPI: 70) — MD got two ACC road wins. Slowly starting to get the wins they need. They play five of seven at home starting with Duke Wednesday night. A win against Duke would be huge, because right now they’re outside looking in.
8. JMU (17-6, 7-4, RPI: 66) — They do have VCU (twice), ODU and Mason on the schedule, so if they win out it would be interesting going into the CAA Tournament.
9. Hampton (15-5, 6-2, RPI: 125) — Still look like the favorite to win their conference.
10. American (15-7, 5-2, RPI: 122) — Can’t lose to Navy, not this year.
11. Virginia (11-10, 2-5, RPI: 153) — Lost to Wake. Enough said.

D.C. sports fan and digital media guy that's been doing this since 2004. Once threw a football further than Chris Cooley.

6 Comments

6 Comments

  1. JDP

    January 31, 2011 at 4:19 PM

    Ken Pomeroy disagrees with you.

    MD
    Georgetown
    Virginia Tech
    George Mason
    Richmond
    ODU
    VCU

  2. Puttz

    January 31, 2011 at 4:29 PM

    KenPom cheats. He uses fancy math and shit we can’t understand.

  3. Rob

    January 31, 2011 at 8:53 PM

    I think VCU might be better than folks think and they already beat ODU down in Norfolk. The CAA tourney could be a good one this year.

    Also, the baby race is hilarious. It was actually my buddy’s kid who won the thing.

  4. jmusucks

    February 1, 2011 at 3:25 AM

    I disagree with VCU so low. 4th highest active home win streak in the country at 21 and they beat ODU at ODU.

  5. Hugh

    February 1, 2011 at 8:18 AM

    Richmond should drop after that embarrassing showing against Xavier. VCU should be higher. They are on a roll. Mason is also playing at a high level, but they will be tested this week with games against Hofstra and ODU at home. ODU really needs to win that game to keep pace. Hopefully the easy wins they got last week have jumpstarted their offense. I can actually envision a scenario where the Colonial gets three teams in. It is definitely possible if VCU wins the conference tourney, Mason loses in the finals, and ODU loses in the semi’s.

  6. Kev29

    February 1, 2011 at 10:59 AM

    Here’s some fancy math… KenPom = gobbledegook

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