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Projecting the Redskins’ Final Record

The Redskins really could’ve used that win in Detroit. Alas, they stand at 4-4, tied for 9th in the NFC, at the halfway point of the 2010 season.

It’s a respectable mark, one they’ve attained by playing up or down to whomever it is they’re playing against. It’s also a mark that has them 1 game back of a wild card spot.

Unrealistic though the playoffs may be, especially given the unrest at Redskins Park and the aggregate winning record of their remaining opponents, let’s figure out how many games the Skins will win.

To get there, we’ll take it game-by-game and look at four factors: home or away, DVOA ranking, win-loss record and net points. The Redskins, so you know, are 21st in DVOA, 4-4 and -15. Here we go …

Philly: 2nd, 4-3, +15 — LOSS
at Tennessee: 4th, 5-3, +74 — LOSS
Minnesota: 18th, 2-5, -15 — WIN
at Giants: 6th, 5-2, +22 — LOSS
Tampa Bay: (23rd, 5-2, -27) — WIN
at Dallas: 27th, 1-6, -23 — WIN
at Jacksonville: 25, 4-4, -61 — WIN
Giants: 6th, 5-2, +22 — LOSS

Of course any of these games could go any which way, and the NY and Tennessee games are the only ones I feel strongly about, but this is a best guess: The Redskins finish 8-8, a game out of the playoffs, and with regret about the one that slipped away in Detroit.

D.C. sports fan and digital media guy that's been doing this since 2004. Once threw a football further than Chris Cooley.

9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. nickjarv15

    November 4, 2010 at 1:48 PM

    agree mostly but I bet we split with giants and lose to TB instead. One good thing about the other Philly game is we get another in-game scout of our next Philadelphia quarterback acquisition for next season!

  2. Brady

    November 4, 2010 at 1:51 PM

    Both the Detroit and St. Louis games are going to cost us in a big way at the end of the season. Was really liking my Redskins OVER 7.5 wins bet going into the Detroit debacle. Now not feeling so good

  3. JDobs2

    November 4, 2010 at 2:14 PM

    I was thinking the same thing last year when we lost to Detroit. Then the Saints game came and ripped what little dignity and fandom I had left. I still shudder at that game because we were SO CLOSE to beating the team that would go on to be Super Bowl Champs. I would count on at least 1 win against NY.

  4. Some Redskins Fan

    November 4, 2010 at 3:07 PM

    Dont forget about Houston, we had that game

  5. Jamie Mottram

    November 4, 2010 at 3:29 PM

    Houston hurt too, but at least they’re a decent team, unlike Detroit, which has won four games the past two years, two against Washington.

  6. Kev29

    November 4, 2010 at 5:12 PM

    The problem is, this team will win a couple games that it shouldn’t and lose a couple that it could/should. So watch them beat Philly at home but lose to a Dallas team completely in the toilet.

    If I’m guessing – they lose the rest of their road games and win two of the homes. 6-10, going into the off-season on a 3 game losing streak after playoff talk. Then welcome to Hell.

  7. Jamie Mottram

    November 4, 2010 at 6:25 PM

    The problem is, this team will win a couple games that it shouldn’t and lose a couple that it could/should.

    That’s exactly right, Kev, but this was my level-best shot at projecting their record. Looking back over it though, it does strike me as a bit optimistic.

  8. DM

    November 6, 2010 at 1:33 PM

    We should hope that the Giants have home field clinched by the time we play them week 17 @ Fedex. They could rest all their starters and we could sneak in at 9-7.

  9. Jamie Mottram

    November 6, 2010 at 3:27 PM

    That’s a great point, DM. I might be going to that game, so let’s just hope it means something!

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