The Redskins really could’ve used that win in Detroit. Alas, they stand at 4-4, tied for 9th in the NFC, at the halfway point of the 2010 season.
It’s a respectable mark, one they’ve attained by playing up or down to whomever it is they’re playing against. It’s also a mark that has them 1 game back of a wild card spot.
Unrealistic though the playoffs may be, especially given the unrest at Redskins Park and the aggregate winning record of their remaining opponents, let’s figure out how many games the Skins will win.
To get there, we’ll take it game-by-game and look at four factors: home or away, DVOA ranking, win-loss record and net points. The Redskins, so you know, are 21st in DVOA, 4-4 and -15. Here we go …
Philly: 2nd, 4-3, +15 — LOSS
at Tennessee: 4th, 5-3, +74 — LOSS
Minnesota: 18th, 2-5, -15 — WIN
at Giants: 6th, 5-2, +22 — LOSS
Tampa Bay: (23rd, 5-2, -27) — WIN
at Dallas: 27th, 1-6, -23 — WIN
at Jacksonville: 25, 4-4, -61 — WIN
Giants: 6th, 5-2, +22 — LOSS
Of course any of these games could go any which way, and the NY and Tennessee games are the only ones I feel strongly about, but this is a best guess: The Redskins finish 8-8, a game out of the playoffs, and with regret about the one that slipped away in Detroit.