Nats starting catcher and Opening Day cleanup hitter Wilson Ramos reportedly fractured his left hand today on a foul tip, which is a very Wilson Ramos thing to do. (He’s only played more than 78 games in a season just once.)
We don’t know how serious it is or how long he’ll be out, but here’s a quick crack at what it could mean:
*In 231 career games with the Nats, Ramos’ Baseball Reference WAR is 4.9. It’s 5.3 on Fangraphs.
*Assuming Ramos misses two months or about 40 games, that’s a dropoff of about 0.9 WAR, so long as we also assume his replacement plays at replacement level.
*The replacement is Jose Lobaton, who posted a 1.5/1.4 WAR last season in 100 games with Tampa.
Meaning, while it stinks to lose Ramos at all, this shouldn’t hurt the Nats too bad. Maybe a game or less in the standings. And oh yeah, they won in 10 today.
Also, I know very little about WAR specifically and fancy stats in general. We may be doomed.