Redskins Playoff Dreams Are Inching Closer To Reality

Alright, let’s get delusional, y’all. Time to look at the Redskins’ chances of making the playoffs heading into this Sunday’s game against the Ravens. Here are their odds of making the postseason in any form — winning the division or a Wild Card spot — from four trusted sources:

Football Outsiders: 39%
Cool Standings: 36%
Brian Burke: 44%
Playoff Status: 38%
AVERAGE: 39%

And now, some day-dreaming …

Clearest path for the Skins to win the division:
They win their last four games, in all of which they’ll be favored, to finish the season 10-6. The Giants lose to the Falcons in Week 15 OR the Ravens in Week 16, both of which they’ll likely be underdogs, to finish 10-6. Washington holds the tiebreaker with the better divisional record.

Another route:
They lose to the Ravens, their toughest remaining game, but win their last three to finish 9-7. The Giants lose to the Falcons AND the Ravens to finish 9-7, as well. Tiebreaker to Washington.

Other routes:
There are a bunch of them. Use your imagination.

14 thoughts on “Redskins Playoff Dreams Are Inching Closer To Reality”

  1. I’m gonna be pessimistic and say we go 8-8 and miss it. Still, this is much better of an ending than I would have guessed after all of the injuries and general awfulness of the defense.

  2. For the WC, there are like 5 teams the Skins have to beat to 9/10 wins. For the division, it’s 1 team. So yeah, winning the East is the far easier scenario, which is odd considering it would also give them a higher playoff seeding.

  3. “For the WC, there are like 5 teams the Skins have to beat to 9/10 wins”

    Question: how does the tiebreaker work against WC teams we haven’t played?

  4. We have head-to-head tiebreaker over MIN, DAL, TB, and better conference record than CHI or SEA. So, if either SEA or NYG slip, the ‘Skins have a very good shot of making it, but we control nothing right now of course.

  5. They have tie-breakers over most of the other teams in the wild card mix. If they win out, all they need is for Seattle to lose one of their three remaining NFC games (Arizona, SF and St. Louis, all at home).

  6. If the Skins beat Baltimore this weekend, they are winning out.
    Browns and Eagles? Wins.

    And if you think this Redskins team is losing at home to the Cowboys in the last game of the season with the playoffs probably riding on a win, you are not watching the same team that won this past Monday night.

  7. It’s entirely possible to beat Baltimore, lose to Cleveland, beat Philly, and lose to Dallas.

    I have a feeling they end up 8-8

  8. The Giants end with Atlanta and Baltimore, who could very well be sitting a lot of starters based on their record and having a first round bye locked up.

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